evidence boundary
unknowntheoretical
An evidence atom is an inspectable support unit. It is not a finding by itself; it supports or challenges a finding through review.
frontiers / frontier
Evidence atom
back to sourcesevidence boundary
unknownAn evidence atom is an inspectable support unit. It is not a finding by itself; it supports or challenges a finding through review.
finding binding
boundThe predicted BNS merger rate of ~1-10 per 100 cubic megaparsecs per year (Gpc^-3 yr^-1) is currently consistent with fewer than ~5 confirmed BNS detections in O4, suggesting either intrinsic rarity or incomplete observational sensitivity below SNR~8.
inspect finding →
source binding
source-boundvs_6732007cb6eca7ca
inspect source →
review context
unverified2 reviewable changes and 0 evaluation records target this atom or its bound objects.
Evidence statement
The predicted BNS merger rate of ~1-10 per 100 cubic megaparsecs per year (Gpc^-3 yr^-1) is currently consistent with fewer than ~5 confirmed BNS detections in O4, suggesting either intrinsic rarity or incomplete observational sensitivity below SNR~8.
extraction method
manual_curation
support relation
unknown
condition refs
vcnd_796b7a00eb18bf6f
Caveats
events
vev_79f1d284134e8c0afinding.assertedManual finding added to frontier state
reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
vev_cd13c318ed98b73cfinding.caveatedVerifier caution: Finding claims BNS rate of 1-10 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ consistent with <5 detections in O4. Web search reveals O4 preliminary rate is 56+99−40 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ (much higher than 1-10 range), with more detections than claimed. The cited rate range and O4 consistency are both incorrect.
reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
reviewable changes
vpr_caea927b0ac33cfbfinding.addManual finding added to frontier state
applied · reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
vpr_3303a7db78b93159finding.caveatVerifier caution: Finding claims BNS rate of 1-10 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ consistent with <5 detections in O4. Web search reveals O4 preliminary rate is 56+99−40 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ (much higher than 1-10 range), with more detections than claimed. The cited rate range and O4 consistency are both incorrect.
applied · reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
evaluations
No evaluation rows are attached.