record state
frontier-ownedReview status
This finding is part of accepted frontier state. Review events, reviewable changes, and proof state explain how it can change.
unreviewed
frontiers / frontier
Finding bundle
back to stateno incoming links yet
record state
frontier-ownedThis finding is part of accepted frontier state. Review events, reviewable changes, and proof state explain how it can change.
finding statement
finding typeNo entity list is declared.
evidence
source-boundtheoretical · manual state transition
proof impact
packet context2 reviewable changes and 0 evaluation records are attached to this finding id.
Evidence and conditions
method
manual state transition
evidence type
theoretical
conditions
Provenance
source title
Population-level rate inference from GWTC
authors
reviewer:will-blair
The predicted BNS merger rate of ~1-10 per 100 cubic megaparsecs per year (Gpc^-3 yr^-1) is currently consistent with fewer than ~5 confirmed BNS detections in O4, suggesting either intrinsic rarity or incomplete observational sensitivity below SNR~8.
vs_6732007cb6eca7ca · manual_curation
outgoing
vf_6945e6d0d629deeaRate inference depends on accurate individual source classification
incoming
No incoming links.
events
vev_79f1d284134e8c0afinding.assertedManual finding added to frontier state
reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
vev_cd13c318ed98b73cfinding.caveatedVerifier caution: Finding claims BNS rate of 1-10 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ consistent with <5 detections in O4. Web search reveals O4 preliminary rate is 56+99−40 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ (much higher than 1-10 range), with more detections than claimed. The cited rate range and O4 consistency are both incorrect.
reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
reviewable changes
vpr_caea927b0ac33cfbfinding.addManual finding added to frontier state
applied · reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
vpr_3303a7db78b93159finding.caveatVerifier caution: Finding claims BNS rate of 1-10 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ consistent with <5 detections in O4. Web search reveals O4 preliminary rate is 56+99−40 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹ (much higher than 1-10 range), with more detections than claimed. The cited rate range and O4 consistency are both incorrect.
applied · reviewer:will-blair · 2026-05-29
evaluations
No evaluation record targets this finding id.